Molde vs Fredrikstad: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Aker Stadion, Molde
The Footlab AI model makes Molde the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Fredrikstad. The most likely score is 1-1. If Molde wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Molde vs Fredrikstad?
On Elo ratings, Molde has 2,022 points and Fredrikstad 1,980.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Molde vs Fredrikstad
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Molde
4-2-3-1- 9J. Abdulai
- 10E. Breivik
- 30D. Daga
- 23S. Granaas
- 16S. Kilen
- 11C. Zady Sery
- 25M. Linnes
- 27F. Dahl
- 8M. Løvik
- 19E. Haugan
- 22A. Posiadała
Fredrikstad
3-4-3- 23H. Skogvold
- 18B. Fiabema
- 7B. Thoresen
- 16D. Eid
- 14M. Nilsson
- 6S. Leach Holm
- 13S. Sørløkk
- 4F. Holmé
- 28S. Owusu
- 38I. Amundsen
- 77M. Børsheim
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Molde have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Fredrikstad have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 2-2 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aalesund(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Trygg/Lade(away) | 5-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ham-Kam(away) | 5-1 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tromso(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Valerenga(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Stjørdals-Blink(away) | 1-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Molde win, 2 draws, 2 Fredrikstad wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Molde 1-2 Fredrikstad | Eliteserien |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Fredrikstad 4-2 Molde | Eliteserien |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Fredrikstad 0-0 Molde | NM Cupen |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Molde 6-1 Fredrikstad | Eliteserien |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Fredrikstad 0-0 Molde | Eliteserien |
How many goals should we expect?
Molde score 3.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fredrikstad score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde | 3.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
| Fredrikstad | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Molde sit 4th in Eliteserien (37 points from 22 matches) and Fredrikstad sit 8th (29 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Molde | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 37 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 33 | 29 |
A question about Molde vs Fredrikstad?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Molde vs Fredrikstad?
- The Footlab AI model makes Molde the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Fredrikstad.
- Where and when is Molde vs Fredrikstad played?
- Molde vs Fredrikstad is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Aker Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.