Vila Nova vs Duque de Caxias: result 4-1 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 4Kick-off on July 22, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia, Goiás
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What was the result of Vila Nova vs Duque de Caxias?
Vila Nova won 4-1 on July 22, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 23′Pedro Bispo Moreira JúniorVila Nova
- 66′Rafael VazVila Nova
- 69′Pedro Bispo Moreira JúniorVila Nova
- 80′Pedro Bispo Moreira JúniorVila Nova
- 88′Charles Souza ChadDuque de Caxias
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Vila Nova have 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Duque de Caxias have 1, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2012 | Santo André(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 8, 2012 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 2-3 | Serie C |
| Jun 30, 2012 | Oeste(home) | 4-1 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2012 | Brasiliense(away) | 2-3 | Serie C |
| Jul 8, 2012 | Madureira(home) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| Jun 30, 2012 | Tupi(away) | 2-0 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Vila Nova score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 3; Duque de Caxias score 1.3 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1 | 2/3 | 2/3 |
| Duque de Caxias | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 1/3 | 1/3 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy