Vila Nova vs Novorizontino: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia, Goiás
The Footlab AI model makes Novorizontino the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Vila Nova. The most likely score is 1-1. If Novorizontino wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Vila Nova (1,782) and Novorizontino (1,857).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vila Nova vs Novorizontino
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vila Nova
4-2-3-1- 7André Luís
- 10Marquinhos Gabriel
- 99Janderson
- 5João Vieira
- 15Dudu
- 17Everton Galdino
- 4Douglas Mendes
- 22Hayner
- 6Higor
- 23Jonathan Costa
- 1Helton Leite
Novorizontino
4-2-3-1- 11Robson
- 6Luis Oyama
- 10Romulo
- 30Nicolas Careca
- 41Reidiney
- 17Matheus Bianqui
- 2Madson
- 4Patrick
- 5Sander
- 26Gabriel Bahia
- 93Jordi
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vila Nova have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Novorizontino have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nautico Recife(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Cuiaba(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Londrina(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 18, 2026 | America Mineiro(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Ponte Preta(home) | 5-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Nautico Recife(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Goias(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 25, 2026 | São Bernardo(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ceara(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Vila Nova win, 1 draw, 4 Novorizontino wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Novorizontino 2-1 Vila Nova | Serie B |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Novorizontino 1-1 Vila Nova | Serie B |
| May 30, 2025 | Vila Nova 0-1 Novorizontino | Serie B |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Novorizontino 2-0 Vila Nova | Serie B |
| May 14, 2024 | Vila Nova 2-1 Novorizontino | Serie B |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Novorizontino 3-1 Vila Nova | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Novorizontino vs Vila Nova on Jun 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vila Nova score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Novorizontino score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | 1.4 | 0.7 | 10 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
| Novorizontino | 2.1 | 0.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vila Nova sit 1st in Serie B (61 points from 33 matches) and Novorizontino sit 2nd (60 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 46 | 31 | 61 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59 | 28 | 60 |
A question about Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?
- The Footlab AI model makes Novorizontino the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Vila Nova.
- Where and when is Vila Nova vs Novorizontino played?
- Vila Nova vs Novorizontino is played on October 18, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.