Vila Pouca vs Brito: prediction and stats
Taça de PortugalRound of 128Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Vila Pouca the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Brito. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vila Pouca vs Brito?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Vila Pouca (1,749) and Brito (1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Vila Pouca have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Brito have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2019 | Mafra(home) | 0-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 8, 2019 | Pedras Salgadas(away) | 1-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Montalegre(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bragança(home) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mirandela(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ribeira Brava(away) | 3-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Celoricense(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Vila Pouca score 0.5 and concede 3.5 goals per match over their last 2; Brito score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Pouca | 0.5 | 3.5 | 0 | 1/2 | 2/2 |
| Brito | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vila Pouca vs Brito?
- The Footlab model makes Vila Pouca the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Brito.
- Where and when is Vila Pouca vs Brito played?
- Vila Pouca vs Brito is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Taça de Portugal.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.