Castro Daire vs Portimonense: result 0-1 and analysis
Taça de PortugalRound of 128Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Complexo Desportivo Castro Daire, Castro Daire
Full time
What was the result of Castro Daire vs Portimonense?
Portimonense won 0-1 on September 19, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 34′Danio DjassiPortimonense
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Portimonense win at 67%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 0-2. Actual score: 0-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castro Daire have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Portimonense have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Beira-Mar(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sousense(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ovarense(home) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Anadia(home) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Leça(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tondela(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Leixoes(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Benfica B(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vizela(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Castro Daire score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Portimonense score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castro Daire | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Portimonense | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Castro Daire vs Portimonense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy