Galapagar vs Parla Escuela: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Galapagar, Madrid
The Footlab model makes Galapagar the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Parla Escuela. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Galapagar vs Parla Escuela?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Galapagar (1,727) and Parla Escuela (1,754).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galapagar have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Parla Escuela have 1, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | AD Parla(away) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Unión Adarve(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Alcorcón II(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Villaverde-Boetticher(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2024 | Valencia(home) | 0-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Sonseca(away) | 1-0 | Copa del Rey |
How many goals should we expect?
Galapagar score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Parla Escuela score 0.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galapagar | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Parla Escuela | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0/2 | 0/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42 | 47 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Galapagar vs Parla Escuela?
- The Footlab model makes Galapagar the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Parla Escuela.
- Where and when is Galapagar vs Parla Escuela played?
- Galapagar vs Parla Escuela is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Galapagar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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