Match

Galapagar vs Parla Escuela: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Galapagar, Madrid

GalapagarParla Escuela

The Footlab model makes Galapagar the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Parla Escuela. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Galapagar vs Parla Escuela?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Galapagar (1,727) and Parla Escuela (1,754).

Galapagar win39 %
Draw27 %
Parla Escuela win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galapagar have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Parla Escuela have 1, 0 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Galapagar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Las Rozas(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026AD Parla(away)5-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Unión Adarve(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Alcorcón II(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026Villaverde-Boetticher(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Parla Escuela
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 26, 2024Valencia(home)0-1Copa del Rey
Oct 9, 2024Sonseca(away)1-0Copa del Rey

How many goals should we expect?

Galapagar score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Parla Escuela score 0.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Galapagar1.51.3310/157/15
Parla Escuela0.50.510/20/2

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Galapagar34111310424746

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Galapagar vs Parla Escuela?
The Footlab model makes Galapagar the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Parla Escuela.
Where and when is Galapagar vs Parla Escuela played?
Galapagar vs Parla Escuela is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Galapagar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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