Mirandés II vs Turégano: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro
The Footlab model makes Mirandés II the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Turégano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mirandés II vs Turégano?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Mirandés II (1,757) and Turégano (1,738).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirandés II have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Turégano have 1, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Villaralbo(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bembibre(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2023 | Celta Vigo(home) | 0-4 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 12, 2023 | Santurtzi(home) | 3-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 19, 2022 | Velarde(away) | 0-1 | Copa del Rey |
How many goals should we expect?
Mirandés II score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Turégano score 1.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirandés II | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Turégano | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1/3 | 2/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mirandés II | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mirandés II vs Turégano?
- The Footlab model makes Mirandés II the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Turégano.
- Where and when is Mirandés II vs Turégano played?
- Mirandés II vs Turégano is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026GuijuelovsUD Santa Marta
- Dec 13, 2026ArandinavsPalencia CF
- Dec 13, 2026BembibrevsSalamanca II
- Dec 13, 2026Cristo AtléticovsCalasanz de Soria
- Dec 13, 2026La Virgen del CaminovsBurgos Promesas
- Dec 13, 2026Atlético MansillésvsAlmazán
- Dec 13, 2026VillaralbovsColegios Diocesanos
- Dec 13, 2026Unionistas IIvsCultural Leonesa II