Villarreal vs Real Betis: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
The Footlab model makes Villarreal the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Real Betis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villarreal vs Real Betis?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Villarreal (2,172) and Real Betis (2,176).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villarreal have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Real Betis have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(away) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Racing Santander(away) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Levante(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lens(away) | 1-3 | Como Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Villarreal win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Real Betis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Real Betis 2-0 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Villarreal 2-2 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Real Betis 1-2 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Villarreal 1-2 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Real Betis 2-3 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Villarreal 1-2 Real Betis | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Real Betis vs Villarreal on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villarreal score 2.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Real Betis score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 2.0 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Real Betis | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villarreal sit 8th in La Liga (1 points from 1 matches) and Real Betis sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villarreal vs Real Betis?
- The Footlab model makes Villarreal the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Real Betis.
- Where and when is Villarreal vs Real Betis played?
- Villarreal vs Real Betis is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de la Cerámica, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.