Pro Palazzolo vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Palazzolo sull'Oglio
The Footlab model makes Pro Palazzolo the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pro Palazzolo vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?
Pro Palazzolo starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,798 vs 1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pro Palazzolo have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Virtus Ciserano Bergamo have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Città di Varese(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Lentigione(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 3, 2026 | Coriano(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Castellanzese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vogherese(home) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Villa Valle(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Pro Palazzolo win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | Pro Palazzolo 2-0 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Serie D - Girone B |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1-2 Pro Palazzolo | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Pro Palazzolo vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo on Apr 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Pro Palazzolo score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus Ciserano Bergamo score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Palazzolo | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pro Palazzolo vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?
- The Footlab model makes Pro Palazzolo the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo.
- Where and when is Pro Palazzolo vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo played?
- Pro Palazzolo vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.