Vissel Kobe vs Mito Hollyhock: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, Kobe
The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vissel Kobe vs Mito Hollyhock?
Vissel Kobe starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (2,042 vs 1,829).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vissel Kobe have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Mito Hollyhock have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Tokyo(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Imabari(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Consadole Sapporo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| May 30, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Vissel Kobe win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Mito Hollyhock win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2013 | Vissel Kobe 1-1 Mito Hollyhock | J2 League |
| Jun 1, 2013 | Mito Hollyhock 0-2 Vissel Kobe | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Vissel Kobe vs Mito Hollyhock on Sep 29, 2013
How many goals should we expect?
Vissel Kobe score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vissel Kobe | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Mito Hollyhock | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vissel Kobe sit 8th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Mito Hollyhock sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mito Hollyhock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vissel Kobe vs Mito Hollyhock?
- The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Mito Hollyhock.
- Where and when is Vissel Kobe vs Mito Hollyhock played?
- Vissel Kobe vs Mito Hollyhock is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Kashiwa ReysolvsJEF United Chiba
- Nov 21, 2026Sanfrecce HiroshimavsYokohama F. Marinos
- Nov 21, 2026KashimavsShimizu S-pulse
- Nov 21, 2026Cerezo OsakavsFC Tokyo
- Nov 21, 2026Gamba OsakavsFagiano Okayama
- Nov 21, 2026Kawasaki FrontalevsAvispa Fukuoka
- Nov 21, 2026Kyoto SangavsUrawa
- Nov 21, 2026Machida ZelviavsV-varen Nagasaki