Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, Kobe
The Footlab model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Vissel Kobe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Vissel Kobe (2,042) and Machida Zelvia (2,114).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vissel Kobe have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Machida Zelvia have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Tokyo(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Imabari(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Consadole Sapporo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Urawa(home) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(away) | 4-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 5-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Fujieda MYFC(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(home) | 2-1 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Vissel Kobe win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Machida Zelvia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Machida Zelvia 3-1 Vissel Kobe | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Machida Zelvia 2-0 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Vissel Kobe 1-0 Machida Zelvia | J1 League |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Vissel Kobe 0-0 Machida Zelvia | J1 League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Machida Zelvia 1-2 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe on Nov 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Vissel Kobe score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Machida Zelvia score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vissel Kobe | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Machida Zelvia | 1.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vissel Kobe sit 8th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Machida Zelvia sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?
- The Footlab model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Vissel Kobe.
- Where and when is Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia played?
- Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia is played on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Oct 24, 2026Nagoya GrampusvsYokohama F. Marinos
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- Oct 24, 2026Cerezo OsakavsJEF United Chiba
- Oct 24, 2026FC TokyovsMito Hollyhock
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