Match

Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 06:00 AM (UTC)NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, Kobe

Vissel KobeMachida Zelvia

The Footlab AI model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Machida Zelvia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vissel Kobe wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,748 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Vissel Kobe (2,130) and Machida Zelvia (2,152).

45%27%28%
Vissel Kobe winDrawMachida Zelvia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Vissel Kobe

4-3-3
  1. 41K. Nagato
  2. 10Y. Osako
  3. 11Y. Muto
  1. 7Y. Ideguchi
  2. 94Erik
  3. 25Y. Kuwasaki
  1. 15Diego
  2. 4T. Yamakawa
  3. 24G. Sakai
  4. 3Matheus Thuler
  1. 71S. Gonda

Machida Zelvia

3-4-2-1
  1. 99T. Yengi
  1. 16H. Mae
  2. 9Koki Ogawa
  3. 7Y. Soma
  4. 33T. Akimoto
  5. 6H. Mochizuki
  6. 88H. Nakamura
  1. 50D. Okamura
  2. 3G. Shōji
  3. 2T. Ouwejan
  1. 1K. Tani

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:40 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vissel Kobe have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Machida Zelvia have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vissel Kobe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Fagiano Okayama(away)3-0J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Jeonbuk Motors(home)2-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 9, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(away)2-4J1 League
Sep 23, 2026Sagan Tosu(home)1-0Emperor Cup
Sep 20, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)1-0J1 League
Machida Zelvia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)3-0J1 League
Oct 15, 2026Tampines Rovers(away)1-0AFC Champions League Two
Oct 10, 2026Kyoto Sanga(away)1-0J1 League
Oct 3, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)0-0J-League Cup
Sep 23, 2026Tochigi City(home)2-1Emperor Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Vissel Kobe wins, 1 draw, 2 Machida Zelvia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 22, 2025Machida Zelvia 3-1 Vissel KobeEmperor Cup
Aug 10, 2025Machida Zelvia 2-0 Vissel KobeJ1 League
Apr 20, 2025Vissel Kobe 1-0 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Jun 26, 2024Vissel Kobe 0-0 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Apr 13, 2024Machida Zelvia 1-2 Vissel KobeJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe on Nov 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Vissel Kobe score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Machida Zelvia score 2.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Vissel Kobe1.70.877/158/15
Machida Zelvia2.20.778/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Vissel Kobe sit 4th in J1 League (22 points from 10 matches) and Machida Zelvia sit 2nd (23 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Machida Zelvia10721251023
4Vissel Kobe1071217922

A question about Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?
The Footlab AI model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Machida Zelvia.
Where and when is Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia played?
Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia is played on October 24, 2026 at 06:00 AM (UTC) at NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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