Vitesse vs Réal Bamako: prediction and stats
CAF Confederation Cup1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Wobi, Bobo-Dioulasso
The Footlab model makes Vitesse the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Réal Bamako. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vitesse vs Réal Bamako?
Réal Bamako starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,732 vs 1,593).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitesse have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Réal Bamako have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Rahimo(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | CFFEB(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Salitas(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Réal du Faso(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Douanes(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | US Bougouba(home) | 4-0 | Première Division |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Djoliba(away) | 1-0 | Première Division |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Afrique Football Élite(home) | 0-0 | Première Division |
| May 31, 2026 | ASKO(away) | 0-1 | Première Division |
| May 25, 2026 | Derby Academie(home) | 1-0 | Première Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitesse score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Réal Bamako score 1.2 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitesse | 1.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Réal Bamako | 1.2 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vitesse vs Réal Bamako?
- The Footlab model makes Vitesse the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Réal Bamako.
- Where and when is Vitesse vs Réal Bamako played?
- Vitesse vs Réal Bamako is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Wobi, in the CAF Confederation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.