Vitoria Setubal vs Portel: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DGroup D - 23Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Bonfim, Setúbal
The Footlab AI model makes Vitoria Setubal the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Portel. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vitoria Setubal wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,509 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vitoria Setubal vs Portel?
Vitoria Setubal starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,901 vs 1,765).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vitoria Setubal vs Portel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vitoria Setubal
4-3-3- HHeliardo
- TTuga
- JJoca Monteiro
- RR. Omrani
- PPedro Catarino
- TTiago Nascimento
- LLourenço Henriques
- JJoão Marouca
- DDiogo Sequeira
- 72Diogo Fernandes Martins
- TTiago Neto
Portel
Not enough data to predict the Portel lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 10:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitoria Setubal have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Portel have 1, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | 1º Dezembro(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | UD da Serra(home) | 1-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alcains(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Juventude Évora(home) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Santa Clara B(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lajense(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Imortal Albufeira(away) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Olhanense(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aljustrelense(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitoria Setubal score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Portel score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria Setubal | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Portel | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 6/12 | 7/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Setubal | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 53 |
A question about Vitoria Setubal vs Portel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vitoria Setubal vs Portel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vitoria Setubal the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Portel.
- Where and when is Vitoria Setubal vs Portel played?
- Vitoria Setubal vs Portel is played on March 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Bonfim, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.