Vitoria vs Bahia: result 3-2 and analysis
Baiano - 1FinalKick-off on March 31, 2024 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador, Bahia
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What was the result of Vitoria vs Bahia?
Vitoria won 3-2 on March 31, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 46′ThacianoBahia
- 63′CaulyBahia
- 68′Mateus GonçalvesVitoria
- 89′Mateus GonçalvesVitoria
- 90′Iury CastilhoVitoria
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitoria have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Bahia have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | Treze(home) | 3-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 1-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Bahia(away) | 1-2 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Barcelona BA(home) | 4-1 | Baiano - 1 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Barcelona BA(away) | 2-0 | Baiano - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | Botafogo PB(away) | 0-4 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Maranhão(home) | 1-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Vitoria(home) | 2-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Jequié(home) | 4-1 | Baiano - 1 |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Caxias(away) | 2-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Vitoria win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Bahia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | Bahia 2-1 Vitoria | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Vitoria 3-2 Bahia | Baiano - 1 |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Bahia 1-1 Vitoria | Copa do Nordeste |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Bahia 1-0 Vitoria | Baiano - 1 |
| Feb 2, 2022 | Vitoria 1-1 Bahia | Baiano - 1 |
| Mar 17, 2021 | Bahia 0-0 Vitoria | Baiano - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitoria score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 2.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Bahia | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitoria sit 2nd in Baiano - 1 (16 points from 9 matches) and Bahia sit 1st (23 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bahia | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Vitoria | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy