Vitoria vs Bahia: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 17, 2025 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Vitoria vs Bahia?
Vitoria won 2-1 on October 17, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 26′Renato KayzerVitoria (pen.)
- 41′TiagoBahia
- 64′R. CáceresVitoria
Official lineup for Vitoria vs Bahia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Vitoria
5-4-1- 79Renato Kayzer
- 17Aitor Cantalapiedra
- 44Gabriel Baralhas
- 8Ronald
- 33Erick
- 13Ramon
- 3Zé Marcos
- 4Camutanga
- 43Edu
- 27R. Cáceres
- 1Lucas Arcanjo
Bahia
3-4-3- 6Jean Lucas
- 77Tiago
- 11Rodrigo Nestor
- 23M. Sanabria
- 5Rezende
- 26N. Acevedo
- 7Ademir
- 33David Duarte
- 3Gabriel Xavier
- 13S. Arias
- 96Ronaldo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitoria have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Bahia have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 3-4 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Ceara(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Gremio(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Fluminense(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Flamengo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Botafogo(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Ceara(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Vitoria wins, 3 draws, 3 Bahia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2025 | Bahia 2-1 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Vitoria 1-1 Bahia | Baiano - 1 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Bahia 2-0 Vitoria | Baiano - 1 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Bahia 0-0 Vitoria | Baiano - 1 |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Bahia 2-0 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Vitoria 2-2 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitoria score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 0.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Bahia | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitoria sit 12th in Serie A (36 points from 30 matches) and Bahia sit 5th (49 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 49 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 44 | 36 |
A question about Vitoria vs Bahia?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy