Vitoria vs Sao Paulo: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 38Kick-off on December 7, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador, Bahia
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What was the result of Vitoria vs Sao Paulo?
Vitoria won 1-0 on December 7, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 68′Gabriel BaralhasVitoria
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitoria have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Sao Paulo have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | RB Bragantino(away) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Mirassol(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Sport Recife(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Botafogo(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | Internacional(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Fluminense(away) | 0-6 | Serie A |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Juventude(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Corinthians(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2025 | RB Bragantino(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Vitoria win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Sao Paulo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2025 | Sao Paulo 2-0 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Sao Paulo 2-1 Vitoria | Serie A |
| May 5, 2024 | Vitoria 1-3 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Oct 26, 2018 | Vitoria 0-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jun 13, 2018 | Sao Paulo 3-0 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2017 | Vitoria 1-2 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitoria score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Paulo score 1.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 1.0 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Sao Paulo | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitoria sit 12th in Serie A (29 points from 24 matches) and Sao Paulo sit 13th (27 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Vitoria | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 29 |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy