Volga Ulyanovsk vs Rotor Volgograd: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Trud, Ulyanovsk
The Footlab model makes Rotor Volgograd the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Volga Ulyanovsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs Rotor Volgograd?
Rotor Volgograd starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,855 vs 1,749).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Volga Ulyanovsk have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Rotor Volgograd have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Sochi(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ural(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Veles(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 2-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Volga Ulyanovsk win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Rotor Volgograd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd 0-0 Volga Ulyanovsk | First League |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd 1-3 Volga Ulyanovsk | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Volga Ulyanovsk 1-2 Rotor Volgograd | First League |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Volga Ulyanovsk 1-1 Rotor Volgograd | Cup |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Rotor Volgograd 1-1 Volga Ulyanovsk | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Volga Ulyanovsk 1-2 Rotor Volgograd | Second League A - Division A Gold |
Last archived meeting: Rotor Volgograd vs Volga Ulyanovsk on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Volga Ulyanovsk score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Rotor Volgograd score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volga Ulyanovsk | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Rotor Volgograd | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Volga Ulyanovsk sit 13th in First League (6 points from 7 matches) and Rotor Volgograd sit 10th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rotor Volgograd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
| 13 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Rotor Volgograd?
- The Footlab model makes Rotor Volgograd the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Volga Ulyanovsk.
- Where and when is Volga Ulyanovsk vs Rotor Volgograd played?
- Volga Ulyanovsk vs Rotor Volgograd is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Trud, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.