FC Sochi vs Torpedo Moskva: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, Sochi
The Footlab AI model makes FC Sochi the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Torpedo Moskva. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Sochi wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Sochi vs Torpedo Moskva?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate FC Sochi (1,830) and Torpedo Moskva (1,898).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Sochi vs Torpedo Moskva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Sochi
3-4-2-1- 9Z. Fedorov
- 8M. Ignatov
- 6M. Kuzmin
- 66A. Metsiev
- 5A. Osipov
- 97R. Pasevich
- 29R. Ezhov
- 28R. Magal
- 44N. Stojić
- 4V. Litvinov
- 51T. Mitrov
Torpedo Moskva
4-1-4-1- 79A. Kashtanov
- 97M. Ćurić
- 24A. Pogosov
- 17I. Berkovskiy
- 5V. Moskvichev
- 21A. Galoyan
- 4S. Borodin
- 2N. Bozov
- 99G. Shevchenko
- 44D. Kornyushin
- 58D. Ladokha
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Sochi have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Torpedo Moskva have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC UFA(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Veles(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Dinamo St. Petersburg(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | FC UFA(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Veles(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Sochi wins, 2 draws, 2 Torpedo Moskva wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva 1-2 FC Sochi | First League |
| May 17, 2025 | FC Sochi 0-1 Torpedo Moskva | First League |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Torpedo Moskva 2-2 FC Sochi | First League |
| Apr 30, 2023 | FC Sochi 3-1 Torpedo Moskva | Premier League |
| Nov 22, 2022 | Torpedo Moskva 1-1 FC Sochi | Cup |
| Sep 14, 2022 | FC Sochi 1-3 Torpedo Moskva | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Torpedo Moskva vs FC Sochi on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Sochi score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Torpedo Moskva score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Sochi | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Torpedo Moskva | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Sochi sit 2nd in First League (26 points from 13 matches) and Torpedo Moskva sit 5th (24 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Sochi | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | Torpedo Moskva | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 24 |
A question about FC Sochi vs Torpedo Moskva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Sochi vs Torpedo Moskva?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Sochi the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Torpedo Moskva.
- Where and when is FC Sochi vs Torpedo Moskva played?
- FC Sochi vs Torpedo Moskva is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.