FC Sochi vs Torpedo Moskva: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, Sochi
The Footlab model makes FC Sochi the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Torpedo Moskva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Sochi vs Torpedo Moskva?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate FC Sochi (1,820) and Torpedo Moskva (1,888).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Sochi have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Torpedo Moskva have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(home) | 5-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(away) | 4-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Sochi(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Sochi win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Torpedo Moskva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva 1-2 FC Sochi | First League |
| May 17, 2025 | FC Sochi 0-1 Torpedo Moskva | First League |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Torpedo Moskva 2-2 FC Sochi | First League |
| Apr 30, 2023 | FC Sochi 3-1 Torpedo Moskva | Premier League |
| Nov 22, 2022 | Torpedo Moskva 1-1 FC Sochi | Cup |
| Sep 14, 2022 | FC Sochi 1-3 Torpedo Moskva | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Torpedo Moskva vs FC Sochi on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Sochi score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Torpedo Moskva score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Sochi | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Torpedo Moskva | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Sochi sit 5th in First League (13 points from 7 matches) and Torpedo Moskva sit 4th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Torpedo Moskva | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | FC Sochi | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Sochi vs Torpedo Moskva?
- The Footlab model makes FC Sochi the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Torpedo Moskva.
- Where and when is FC Sochi vs Torpedo Moskva played?
- FC Sochi vs Torpedo Moskva is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.