Arsenal Tula vs Leningradets: prediction and stats
First LeagueMatchday 24Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Arsenal, Tula
The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal Tula the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Leningradets. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arsenal Tula wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,201 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arsenal Tula vs Leningradets?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Arsenal Tula (1,652) and Leningradets (1,680).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arsenal Tula vs Leningradets
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arsenal Tula
3-4-1-2- 11R. Magomedov
- 23T. Melekestsev
- 77D. Plotnikov
- 14M. Brnović
- 25A. Biryukov
- 17I. Gorbunov
- 35I. Enin
- 24K. Gotsuk
- 82A. Alekhin
- 4D. Penchikov
- 42A. Melikhov
Leningradets
4-2-3-1- 11D. Yakovlev
- 10E. Zarypbekov
- 78G. Kiselev
- 7D. Nikitin
- 5K. Morozov
- 6D. Rodin
- 44N. Kalugin
- 37K. Isaev
- 4R. Kudryavtsev
- 19A. Maksetsov
- 96A. Kuznetsov
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 01:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal Tula have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Leningradets have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(away) | 0-4 | First League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | KAMAZ(home) | 4-3 | First League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC UFA(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Enisey(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 0-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Arsenal Tula wins, 4 draws, 0 Leningradets wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leningradets 0-0 Arsenal Tula | First League |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Arsenal Tula 0-0 Leningradets | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2024 | Leningradets 1-1 Arsenal Tula | First League |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Arsenal Tula 0-0 Leningradets | First League |
Last archived meeting: Leningradets vs Arsenal Tula on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal Tula score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leningradets score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Tula | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Leningradets | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arsenal Tula sit 12th in First League (19 points from 17 matches) and Leningradets sit 13th (18 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 35 | 19 |
| 13 | Leningradets | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 27 | 18 |
A question about Arsenal Tula vs Leningradets?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arsenal Tula vs Leningradets?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal Tula the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Leningradets.
- Where and when is Arsenal Tula vs Leningradets played?
- Arsenal Tula vs Leningradets is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Arsenal, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.