Nizhny Novgorod vs Veles: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Nizhny Novgorod, Nizhniy Novgorod
The Footlab model makes Nizhny Novgorod the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Veles. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs Veles?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Nizhny Novgorod (1,842) and Veles (1,844).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nizhny Novgorod have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Veles have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 4-2 | First League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Veles(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(home) | 5-1 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Leningradets(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(home) | 2-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Nizhny Novgorod win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Veles win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Veles 3-2 Nizhny Novgorod | First League |
| Apr 7, 2021 | Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 Veles | First League |
| Oct 13, 2020 | Veles 1-3 Nizhny Novgorod | First League |
Last archived meeting: Veles vs Nizhny Novgorod on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nizhny Novgorod score 2.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Veles score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nizhny Novgorod | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Veles | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nizhny Novgorod sit 1st in First League (21 points from 8 matches) and Veles sit 2nd (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Veles | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nizhny Novgorod vs Veles?
- The Footlab model makes Nizhny Novgorod the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Veles.
- Where and when is Nizhny Novgorod vs Veles played?
- Nizhny Novgorod vs Veles is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Nizhny Novgorod, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.