Vukovar vs Segesta Sisak: prediction and stats
First NLRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Gradski vrt, Osijek
The Footlab model makes Segesta Sisak the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Vukovar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vukovar vs Segesta Sisak?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Vukovar (1,780) and Segesta Sisak (1,809).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vukovar have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Segesta Sisak have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mladost Ždralovi(away) | 1-1 | First NL |
| May 22, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 3-6 | HNL |
| May 15, 2026 | NK Varazdin(home) | 0-2 | HNL |
| May 8, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(away) | 0-3 | HNL |
| May 2, 2026 | NK Osijek(home) | 1-0 | HNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Orijent 1919(home) | 3-1 | First NL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dubrava Zagreb(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lucko(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Krka(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Varteks Varaždin(away) | 3-2 | Second NL |
How many goals should we expect?
Vukovar score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Segesta Sisak score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vukovar | 0.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Segesta Sisak | 2.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vukovar sit 8th in First NL (1 points from 1 matches) and Segesta Sisak sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Segesta Sisak | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Vukovar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vukovar vs Segesta Sisak?
- The Footlab model makes Segesta Sisak the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Vukovar.
- Where and when is Vukovar vs Segesta Sisak played?
- Vukovar vs Segesta Sisak is played on August 28, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Gradski vrt, in the First NL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.