Vvsb vs Groene Ster: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Boekhorst, Noordwijkerhout
The Footlab AI model makes Vvsb the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Groene Ster. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vvsb wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,390 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vvsb vs Groene Ster?
Vvsb starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,727 vs 1,588).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vvsb vs Groene Ster
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vvsb
4-3-3- 11G. van Velzen
- 9J. van Nieuwkerk
- 20Segun Owobowale
- 14N. van Wetten
- 29Timo Wolters
- 1Mats Warmerdam
- 5Dion Hooi
- 28Dario van Breukelen
- 23Max Ossendrijver
- 8Tim Bloemendaal
- 25S. Hoogervorst
Groene Ster
4-3-3- 9Bjorn Stassen
- 21L. Golsteijn
- 11S. Ahidar
- 27M. Germonprez
- 18T. Hajjaji
- 8B. Simons
- 17D. Stassar
- 23D. Zwartjes
- 2J. de Kleijn
- 10C. Ghijsen
- 1M. Voss
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vvsb have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Groene Ster have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Blauw Geel(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 1-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Achilles Veen(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | GOES(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 1-5 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | AFC Amsterdam(home) | 1-6 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | EVV(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Vvsb wins, 3 draws, 0 Groene Ster wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Groene Ster 3-3 Vvsb | Derde Divisie |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Vvsb 1-0 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Groene Ster 1-1 Vvsb | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Groene Ster 2-3 Vvsb | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Vvsb 0-0 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
Vvsb score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Groene Ster score 1.5 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vvsb | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Groene Ster | 1.5 | 2.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vvsb sit 16th in Derde Divisie (7 points from 9 matches) and Groene Ster sit 13th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Groene Ster | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 9 |
| 16 | Vvsb | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 7 |
A question about Vvsb vs Groene Ster?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vvsb vs Groene Ster?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vvsb the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Groene Ster.
- Where and when is Vvsb vs Groene Ster played?
- Vvsb vs Groene Ster is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Boekhorst, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.