NAC Breda vs Helmond Sport: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieMatchday 29Kick-off on March 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
The Footlab AI model makes NAC Breda the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Helmond Sport. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,399 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NAC Breda vs Helmond Sport?
NAC Breda starts as the favourite with a 261-point Elo edge (1,904 vs 1,643).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for NAC Breda vs Helmond Sport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
NAC Breda
4-3-3- 14K. Sowah
- 78J. Van Hecke
- 9M. Soumano
- 10M. Nassoh
- 6M. Balard
- 8F. Oldrup Jensen
- 4L. Greiml
- 12J. Van den Bergh
- 2B. Lucassen
- 22R. Hillen
- 1M. Verrips
Helmond Sport
4-4-2- 34T. Essakkati
- 9L. Bajrami
- 6M. Ludwig
- 44Xander van der Velde
- 10D. Huiberts
- 94Mauro Lenaerts
- 4B. Koglin
- 5T. Poll
- 14Lovro Golič
- 2R. van Bree
- 1M. Bergsen
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 09:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NAC Breda have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Helmond Sport have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 4-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 6, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 0-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(away) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | JOS Watergraafsmeer(away) | 3-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Heracles(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 6, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 30, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 4-5 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 NAC Breda wins, 2 draws, 2 Helmond Sport wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Helmond Sport 0-2 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 26, 2024 | Helmond Sport 1-0 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 27, 2023 | NAC Breda 1-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 13, 2023 | Helmond Sport 2-2 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 5, 2022 | NAC Breda 1-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 18, 2022 | Helmond Sport 4-0 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda on Oct 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NAC Breda score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Helmond Sport score 1.9 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Helmond Sport | 1.9 | 2.7 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NAC Breda sit 4th in Eerste Divisie (28 points from 15 matches) and Helmond Sport sit 18th (12 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | NAC Breda | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 28 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 37 | 12 |
A question about NAC Breda vs Helmond Sport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NAC Breda vs Helmond Sport?
- The Footlab AI model makes NAC Breda the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Helmond Sport.
- Where and when is NAC Breda vs Helmond Sport played?
- NAC Breda vs Helmond Sport is played on March 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Rat Verlegh Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.