Wadi Degla vs El Mokawloon: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Petrosport Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab model makes Wadi Degla the favourite at 47%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for El Mokawloon. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wadi Degla vs El Mokawloon?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Wadi Degla (1,896) and El Mokawloon (1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wadi Degla have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; El Mokawloon have 4, 9 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Masr(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Masr(away) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Enppi(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| May 28, 2026 | El Geish(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 25, 2026 | Enppi(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | El Geish(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Future FC(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Kahraba Ismailia(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Wadi Degla(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Haras El Hodood(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Wadi Degla win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 El Mokawloon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | El Mokawloon 1-1 Wadi Degla | Premier League |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Wadi Degla 0-1 El Mokawloon | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Wadi Degla 0-1 El Mokawloon | Second League |
| Dec 15, 2024 | El Mokawloon 0-0 Wadi Degla | Second League |
| Apr 22, 2021 | El Mokawloon 1-0 Wadi Degla | Premier League |
| Dec 16, 2020 | Wadi Degla 2-1 El Mokawloon | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: El Mokawloon vs Wadi Degla on May 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wadi Degla score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; El Mokawloon score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wadi Degla | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| El Mokawloon | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wadi Degla sit 13th in Premier League (1 points from 1 matches) and El Mokawloon sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wadi Degla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | El Mokawloon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wadi Degla vs El Mokawloon?
- The Footlab model makes Wadi Degla the favourite at 47%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for El Mokawloon.
- Where and when is Wadi Degla vs El Mokawloon played?
- Wadi Degla vs El Mokawloon is played on September 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Petrosport Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.