AL Masry vs Al Ittihad: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ismaïlia Stadium, Ismailia
The Footlab model makes AL Masry the favourite at 48%, against 31% for a draw and 22% for Al Ittihad. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AL Masry vs Al Ittihad?
AL Masry starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,923 vs 1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AL Masry have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Al Ittihad have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Smouha SC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Enppi(away) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Masr(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| May 25, 2026 | Masr(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| May 20, 2026 | Al Ahly(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Zamalek SC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Ismaily SC(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Ghazl El Mehalla(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | El Geish(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 AL Masry win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Al Ittihad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | Al Ittihad 0-0 AL Masry | League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2025 | AL Masry 3-1 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Al Ittihad 1-2 AL Masry | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Al Ittihad 0-2 AL Masry | Premier League |
| Apr 4, 2024 | AL Masry 2-3 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
| May 22, 2023 | Al Ittihad 1-2 AL Masry | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Al Ittihad vs AL Masry on Dec 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
AL Masry score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ittihad score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AL Masry | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Al Ittihad | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AL Masry sit 4th in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and Al Ittihad sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AL Masry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AL Masry vs Al Ittihad?
- The Footlab model makes AL Masry the favourite at 48%, against 31% for a draw and 22% for Al Ittihad.
- Where and when is AL Masry vs Al Ittihad played?
- AL Masry vs Al Ittihad is played on September 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ismaïlia Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.