El Geish vs Smouha SC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gehaz El Reyada Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 35% for El Geish, 35% for a draw, 30% for Smouha SC. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Geish vs Smouha SC?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate El Geish (1,786) and Smouha SC (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Geish have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Smouha SC have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | El Mokawloon(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 28, 2026 | Wadi Degla(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 22, 2026 | El Gouna FC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Pharco(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Al Ittihad(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AL Masry(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Pyramids FC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Zamalek SC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2026 | AL Masry(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Ceramica Cleopatra(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 El Geish win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Smouha SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2025 | Smouha SC 1-1 El Geish | Premier League |
| May 6, 2025 | Smouha SC 0-0 El Geish | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | El Geish 0-0 Smouha SC | Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2024 | El Geish 2-2 Smouha SC | Premier League |
| Dec 27, 2023 | Smouha SC 1-0 El Geish | Premier League |
| Jun 3, 2023 | El Geish 2-0 Smouha SC | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
El Geish score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Smouha SC score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Geish | 0.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Smouha SC | 0.9 | 1.1 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
El Geish sit 5th in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and Smouha SC sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | El Geish | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Smouha SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Geish vs Smouha SC?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 35% for El Geish, 35% for a draw, 30% for Smouha SC.
- Where and when is El Geish vs Smouha SC played?
- El Geish vs Smouha SC is played on September 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gehaz El Reyada Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.