Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Carl-Benz-Stadion, Mannheim
The Footlab model makes Waldhof Mannheim the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for FC Ingolstadt 04. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Waldhof Mannheim (1,855) and FC Ingolstadt 04 (1,925).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Waldhof Mannheim have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 0-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(home) | 2-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(home) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Waldhof Mannheim win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04 5-1 Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Waldhof Mannheim 2-2 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Waldhof Mannheim 0-0 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 4, 2024 | FC Ingolstadt 04 2-1 Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga |
| May 5, 2024 | FC Ingolstadt 04 1-1 Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Waldhof Mannheim 1-1 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Waldhof Mannheim on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Waldhof Mannheim score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waldhof Mannheim | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Waldhof Mannheim sit 7th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Waldhof Mannheim | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
- The Footlab model makes Waldhof Mannheim the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for FC Ingolstadt 04.
- Where and when is Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 played?
- Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 is played on October 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Carl-Benz-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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