Wales vs Bulgaria: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague B - 2Kick-off on September 6, 2020 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Full time
What was the result of Wales vs Bulgaria?
Wales won 1-0 on September 6, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 90′N. WilliamsWales
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wales have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Bulgaria have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2020 | Finland(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 19, 2019 | Hungary(home) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Azerbaijan(away) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Croatia(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Oct 10, 2019 | Slovakia(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2020 | Rep. Of Ireland(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Feb 26, 2020 | Belarus(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Czechia(home) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Nov 14, 2019 | Paraguay(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 14, 2019 | England(home) | 0-6 | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Wales score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bulgaria score 0.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Bulgaria | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy