Wales vs Ukraine: result 1-0 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification EuropePlay-offs - FinalsKick-off on June 5, 2022 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Full time
What was the result of Wales vs Ukraine?
Wales won 1-0 on June 5, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 34′A. YarmolenkoWales (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wales have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Ukraine have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2022 | Poland(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 29, 2022 | Czechia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2022 | Austria(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 16, 2021 | Belgium(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Belarus(home) | 5-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2022 | Scotland(away) | 3-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 16, 2021 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 11, 2021 | Bulgaria(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 12, 2021 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 9, 2021 | Finland(away) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
How many goals should we expect?
Wales score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ukraine score 1.6 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Ukraine | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wales sit 2nd in World Cup - Qualification Europe (16 points from 8 matches) and Ukraine sit 2nd (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wales | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy