Walton & Hersham vs Chelmsford City: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Sports Ground, Walton-on-Thames, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Walton & Hersham the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Chelmsford City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Walton & Hersham vs Chelmsford City?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Walton & Hersham (1,875) and Chelmsford City (1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Walton & Hersham have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Chelmsford City have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 1-5 | National League - South |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 1-3 | National League - South |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
How many goals should we expect?
Walton & Hersham score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walton & Hersham | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Chelmsford City | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Walton & Hersham sit 24th in National League - South (0 points from 4 matches) and Chelmsford City sit 17th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Chelmsford City | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Walton & Hersham vs Chelmsford City?
- The Footlab model makes Walton & Hersham the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Chelmsford City.
- Where and when is Walton & Hersham vs Chelmsford City played?
- Walton & Hersham vs Chelmsford City is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Sports Ground, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Maidstone UtdvsFarnham Town
- Nov 21, 2026DovervsHorsham
- Nov 21, 2026BraintreevsTorquay
- Nov 21, 2026MaidenheadvsFolkestone Invicta
- Nov 21, 2026Billericay TownvsSlough Town
- Nov 21, 2026Truro CityvsHemel Hempstead Town
- Nov 21, 2026Chesham UnitedvsHampton & Richmond
- Nov 21, 2026AFC TottonvsDagenham & Redbridge