Walton & Hersham vs Farnborough: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Sports Ground, Walton-on-Thames, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Walton & Hersham the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Farnborough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Walton & Hersham vs Farnborough?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Walton & Hersham (1,875) and Farnborough (1,809).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Walton & Hersham have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Farnborough have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 1-5 | National League - South |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Walton & Hersham win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Farnborough win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | Walton & Hersham 2-1 Farnborough | FA Trophy |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Walton & Hersham 2-1 Farnborough | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Walton & Hersham vs Farnborough on Nov 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Walton & Hersham score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Farnborough score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walton & Hersham | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Farnborough | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Walton & Hersham sit 24th in National League - South (0 points from 4 matches) and Farnborough sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Farnborough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Walton & Hersham vs Farnborough?
- The Footlab model makes Walton & Hersham the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Farnborough.
- Where and when is Walton & Hersham vs Farnborough played?
- Walton & Hersham vs Farnborough is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Sports Ground, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Dagenham & RedbridgevsHampton & Richmond
- Sep 26, 2026Maidstone UtdvsTruro City
- Sep 26, 2026DovervsAFC Totton
- Sep 26, 2026Billericay TownvsTorquay
- Sep 26, 2026Slough TownvsHemel Hempstead Town
- Sep 26, 2026Chelmsford CityvsHorsham
- Sep 26, 2026Chesham UnitedvsMaidenhead
- Sep 26, 2026SalisburyvsFolkestone Invicta