Walton & Hersham vs Hemel Hempstead Town: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 46Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)The Sports Ground, Walton-on-Thames, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Walton & Hersham the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Hemel Hempstead Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Walton & Hersham vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Walton & Hersham (1,843) and Hemel Hempstead Town (1,839).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Walton & Hersham have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Hemel Hempstead Town have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 1-5 | National League - South |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Walton & Hersham score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walton & Hersham | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Walton & Hersham sit 24th in National League - South (0 points from 4 matches) and Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Walton & Hersham vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
- The Footlab model makes Walton & Hersham the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Hemel Hempstead Town.
- Where and when is Walton & Hersham vs Hemel Hempstead Town played?
- Walton & Hersham vs Hemel Hempstead Town is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at The Sports Ground, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Dagenham & RedbridgevsSalisbury
- Apr 24, 2027DovervsTruro City
- Apr 24, 2027MaidenheadvsWeston-super-Mare
- Apr 24, 2027Ebbsfleet UnitedvsFarnham Town
- Apr 24, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsFolkestone Invicta
- Apr 24, 2027Chelmsford CityvsTorquay
- Apr 24, 2027Chesham UnitedvsMaidstone Utd
- Apr 24, 2027AFC TottonvsBraintree