Match

Warrenpoint Town vs Crusaders FC: prediction and stats

League CupRound of 32Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Milltown Playing Fields, Warrenpoint

Warrenpoint TownCrusaders FC

The Footlab AI model makes Crusaders FC the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Warrenpoint Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Crusaders FC wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Warrenpoint Town vs Crusaders FC?

Crusaders FC starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (1,496 vs 1,303).

27%23%50%
Warrenpoint Town winDrawCrusaders FC win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Warrenpoint Town vs Crusaders FC

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Warrenpoint Town

Not enough data to predict the Warrenpoint Town lineup.

Crusaders FC

4-3-3
  1. 18A. Reid
  2. 9A. Brooks
  3. 27T. Maguire
  1. 6R. Weir
  2. 15O. Wardell
  3. 11E. Dunlop
  1. 2K. Forsythe
  2. 5S. Rough
  3. 3G. Kelly
  4. 43L. Barr
  1. 1S. Callister

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:32 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warrenpoint Town have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Crusaders FC have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Warrenpoint Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Annagh United(home)1-1Championship
Sep 25, 2026Rathfriland(away)2-0Championship
Sep 19, 2026Institute(away)0-2Championship
Sep 12, 2026Moyola Park(home)6-2Championship
Sep 5, 2026Newington Youth(home)0-1Championship
Crusaders FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Carrick Rangers(away)0-4Premiership
Sep 26, 2026Bangor(home)2-1Premiership
Sep 19, 2026Linfield(away)0-1Premiership
Sep 15, 2026Dungannon Swifts(home)3-0Premiership
Sep 12, 2026Limavady United(home)1-2Premiership

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Warrenpoint Town win, 0 draws, 5 Crusaders FC wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 11, 2026Crusaders FC 2-0 Warrenpoint TownFriendlies Clubs
Oct 3, 2023Warrenpoint Town 0-5 Crusaders FCLeague Cup
Mar 19, 2022Crusaders FC 2-1 Warrenpoint TownPremiership
Jan 15, 2022Warrenpoint Town 0-1 Crusaders FCPremiership
Oct 30, 2021Warrenpoint Town 2-4 Crusaders FCPremiership
Mar 6, 2021Crusaders FC 0-2 Warrenpoint TownPremiership

Last archived meeting: Crusaders FC vs Warrenpoint Town on Jul 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Warrenpoint Town score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Crusaders FC score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Warrenpoint Town1.41.646/157/15
Crusaders FC1.41.449/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Warrenpoint Town vs Crusaders FC?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Warrenpoint Town vs Crusaders FC?
The Footlab AI model makes Crusaders FC the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Warrenpoint Town.
Where and when is Warrenpoint Town vs Crusaders FC played?
Warrenpoint Town vs Crusaders FC is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Milltown Playing Fields, in the League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Warrenpoint Town and Crusaders FC

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