Alfreton Town vs Workington: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 36Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Impact Arena, Alfreton, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Alfreton Town the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Workington. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alfreton Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alfreton Town vs Workington?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Alfreton Town (1,733) and Workington (1,760).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alfreton Town vs Workington
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alfreton Town
Not enough data to predict the Alfreton Town lineup.
Workington
Not enough data to predict the Workington lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alfreton Town have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Workington have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | AFC Emley(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Mickleover Sports(away) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ashton United(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bury(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bury(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 3-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Alfreton Town score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Workington score 2.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfreton Town | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Workington | 2.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alfreton Town sit 11th in Non League Premier - Northern (23 points from 16 matches) and Workington sit 7th (27 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Workington | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 26 | 27 |
| 11 | Alfreton Town | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 18 | 23 |
A question about Alfreton Town vs Workington?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alfreton Town vs Workington?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alfreton Town the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Workington.
- Where and when is Alfreton Town vs Workington played?
- Alfreton Town vs Workington is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Impact Arena, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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