Where and when is Alfreton Town vs Workington played?

Alfreton Town vs Workington is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Impact Arena, in the Non League Premier - Northern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alfreton Town vs Workington: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 36Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Impact Arena, Alfreton, Derbyshire

Alfreton Town

Workington

The Footlab model makes Alfreton Town the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Workington. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alfreton Town vs Workington?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Alfreton Town (1,717) and Workington (1,693).

Alfreton Town win44 %

Draw27 %

Workington win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alfreton Town have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Workington have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alfreton Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Hyde United(home)	4-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026	Stockton Town(away)	0-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Cleethorpes Town(away)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Avro(home)	3-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Gainsborough Trinity(home)	2-1	Non League Premier - Northern

Workington
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Rylands(home)	3-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026	United of Manchester(away)	2-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 19, 2026	Avro(away)	1-4	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Guiseley AFC(home)	2-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Redcar Athletic(home)	0-1	Non League Premier - Northern

How many goals should we expect?

Alfreton Town score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Workington score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alfreton Town	1.3	1.8	3	6/15	10/15
Workington	1.3	1.5	3	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alfreton Town sit 9th in Non League Premier - Northern (9 points from 6 matches) and Workington sit 12th (7 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Alfreton Town	6	3	0	3	10	6	9
12	Workington	6	2	1	3	8	12	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alfreton Town vs Workington?: The Footlab model makes Alfreton Town the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Workington.
Where and when is Alfreton Town vs Workington played?: Alfreton Town vs Workington is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Impact Arena, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.