Bury vs Warrington Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 36Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Warrington Town. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,606 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bury vs Warrington Town?
Bury starts as the favourite with a 205-point Elo edge (1,958 vs 1,752).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bury vs Warrington Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bury
Not enough data to predict the Bury lineup.
Warrington Town
Not enough data to predict the Warrington Town lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Warrington Town have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 4-3 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Workington(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Marine(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 2.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Warrington Town score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 2.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Warrington Town | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bury sit 12th in Non League Premier - Northern (19 points from 11 matches) and Warrington Town sit 7th (23 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warrington Town | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 19 | 23 |
| 12 | Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 19 |
A question about Bury vs Warrington Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bury vs Warrington Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Warrington Town.
- Where and when is Bury vs Warrington Town played?
- Bury vs Warrington Town is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gigg Lane, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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