Słowianin vs Warta Gorzów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Wolibòrz, Wolibórz
The Footlab model makes Słowianin the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Warta Gorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Słowianin vs Warta Gorzów?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Słowianin (1,725) and Warta Gorzów (1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Słowianin have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Warta Gorzów have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | SKRA Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 16, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 13, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 1, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Bytom Odrzański(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carina Gubin(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Słowianin win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Warta Gorzów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Warta Gorzów 1-2 Słowianin | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Słowianin 2-2 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Warta Gorzów vs Słowianin on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Słowianin score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Słowianin | 1.2 | 1.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Warta Gorzów | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warta Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Słowianin vs Warta Gorzów?
- The Footlab model makes Słowianin the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Warta Gorzów.
- Where and when is Słowianin vs Warta Gorzów played?
- Słowianin vs Warta Gorzów is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Wolibòrz, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026SKRA CzęstochowavsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Oct 17, 2026Stal BrzegvsGórnik Polkowice
- Oct 17, 2026Stilon GorzówvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Oct 17, 2026Zagłębie Lubin IIvsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Oct 17, 2026KluczborkvsMiedź Legnica II
- Oct 17, 2026Ślęza WrocławvsCarina Gubin
- Oct 17, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsBarycz Sułów
- Oct 17, 2026Sparta KatowicevsROW Rybnik