Match

Słowianin vs Warta Gorzów: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Wolibòrz, Wolibórz

SłowianinWarta Gorzów

The Footlab model makes Słowianin the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Warta Gorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Słowianin vs Warta Gorzów?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Słowianin (1,725) and Warta Gorzów (1,762).

Słowianin win42 %
Draw26 %
Warta Gorzów win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Słowianin have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Warta Gorzów have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Słowianin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026SKRA Częstochowa(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
May 16, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(away)0-2III Liga - Group 3
May 13, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)2-2III Liga - Group 3
May 9, 2026Sparta Katowice(away)0-1III Liga - Group 3
May 1, 2026Zagłębie Lubin II(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Warta Gorzów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Odra Bytom Odrzański(away)1-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Górnik Polkowice(home)0-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026Barycz Sułów(away)2-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Carina Gubin(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026ROW Rybnik(away)1-5III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Słowianin win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Warta Gorzów win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 18, 2026Warta Gorzów 1-2 SłowianinIII Liga - Group 3
Aug 2, 2025Słowianin 2-2 Warta GorzówIII Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Warta Gorzów vs Słowianin on Mar 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Słowianin score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Słowianin1.21.039/158/15
Warta Gorzów0.91.467/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Warta Gorzów5221688

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Słowianin vs Warta Gorzów?
The Footlab model makes Słowianin the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Warta Gorzów.
Where and when is Słowianin vs Warta Gorzów played?
Słowianin vs Warta Gorzów is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Wolibòrz, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Słowianin and Warta Gorzów

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