Watford vs Burnley: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 5, 2014 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Watford
Full time
What was the result of Watford vs Burnley?
Watford and Burnley drew 1-1 on April 5, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 9′T. DeeneyWatford
- 86′S. ArfieldBurnley
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Burnley have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2014 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Mar 25, 2014 | Blackburn(home) | 3-3 | Championship |
| Mar 22, 2014 | Wigan(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Mar 15, 2014 | Barnsley(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Mar 11, 2014 | Doncaster(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2014 | Leicester(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Mar 25, 2014 | Doncaster(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Mar 22, 2014 | Charlton(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Mar 15, 2014 | Leeds(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Mar 12, 2014 | Birmingham(away) | 3-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Watford win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Burnley win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2013 | Burnley 0-0 Watford | Championship |
| Mar 29, 2013 | Watford 3-3 Burnley | Championship |
| Dec 15, 2012 | Burnley 1-1 Watford | Championship |
| Mar 3, 2012 | Watford 3-2 Burnley | Championship |
| Aug 6, 2011 | Burnley 2-2 Watford | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Burnley score 1.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 1.8 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Burnley | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Watford sit 7th in Championship (4 points from 2 matches) and Burnley sit 18th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 18 | Burnley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy