Welling United vs Carshalton Athletic: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, Welling, Kent
The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Carshalton Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Welling United vs Carshalton Athletic?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Welling United (1,764) and Carshalton Athletic (1,788).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Welling United have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Carshalton Athletic have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whyteleafe(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Welling United win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Carshalton Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Welling United 2-1 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Carshalton Athletic 2-1 Welling United | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Welling United vs Carshalton Athletic on Feb 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Carshalton Athletic score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welling United | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Carshalton Athletic | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Welling United sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Carshalton Athletic sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carshalton Athletic | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Welling United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Welling United vs Carshalton Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Carshalton Athletic.
- Where and when is Welling United vs Carshalton Athletic played?
- Welling United vs Carshalton Athletic is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026LeatherheadvsStanway Rovers
- Oct 31, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsRamsgate
- Oct 31, 2026WhitehawkvsSt Albans City
- Oct 31, 2026AveleyvsDartford
- Oct 31, 2026Brentwood TownvsCray Wanderers
- Oct 31, 2026Burgess Hill TownvsEnfield Town
- Oct 31, 2026WhyteleafevsDulwich Hamlet
- Oct 31, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsThree Bridges