Welling United vs Three Bridges: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, Welling, Kent
The Footlab model makes Three Bridges the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Welling United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Welling United vs Three Bridges?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Welling United (1,769) and Three Bridges (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Welling United have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Three Bridges have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 1-5 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dartford(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Faversham Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
How many goals should we expect?
Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Three Bridges score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welling United | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Three Bridges | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Welling United sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Three Bridges sit 22nd (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Welling United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 22 | Three Bridges | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Welling United vs Three Bridges?
- The Footlab model makes Three Bridges the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Welling United.
- Where and when is Welling United vs Three Bridges played?
- Welling United vs Three Bridges is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026LeatherheadvsSt Albans City
- Nov 14, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsDulwich Hamlet
- Nov 14, 2026WhitehawkvsWingate & Finchley
- Nov 14, 2026AveleyvsEnfield Town
- Nov 14, 2026Brentwood TownvsRamsgate
- Nov 14, 2026Burgess Hill TownvsCray Wanderers
- Nov 14, 2026WhyteleafevsChatham Town
- Nov 14, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsCarshalton Athletic