Where and when is Horsham vs Dover played?

Horsham vs Dover is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Camping World Community Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Horsham vs Dover: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Camping World Community Stadium, Horsham, West Sussex

Horsham

Dover

The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Horsham vs Dover?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Horsham (1,821) and Dover (1,727).

Horsham win53 %

Draw25 %

Dover win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Horsham have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Dover have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Horsham
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Braintree(away)	2-1	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Hampton & Richmond(home)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Salisbury(home)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Torquay(away)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Worthing(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

Dover
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(away)	3-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Tonbridge Angels(home)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Slough Town(home)	5-3	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Billericay Town(away)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Carshalton Athletic(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Horsham win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Dover win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 4, 2025	Horsham 1-1 Dover	National League - South
Oct 11, 2025	Dover 1-1 Horsham	National League - South
Jan 1, 2025	Dover 1-2 Horsham	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 26, 2024	Horsham 1-3 Dover	Non League Premier - Isthmian

Last archived meeting: Horsham vs Dover on Nov 4, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Horsham	1.2	1.2	5	5/15	7/15
Dover	1.2	1.8	2	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Horsham sit 2nd in National League - South (8 points from 4 matches) and Dover sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Horsham	4	2	2	0	5	2	8
10	Dover	4	2	0	2	8	8	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Horsham vs Dover?: The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Dover.
Where and when is Horsham vs Dover played?: Horsham vs Dover is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Camping World Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.