Horsham vs Dover: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Camping World Community Stadium, Horsham, West Sussex
The Footlab AI model makes Horsham the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1. If Horsham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Horsham vs Dover?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Horsham (1,829) and Dover (1,811).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Horsham vs Dover
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Horsham
Not enough data to predict the Horsham lineup.
Dover
Not enough data to predict the Dover lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Horsham have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Dover have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chelmsford City(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 1-4 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Horsham win, 2 draws, 1 Dover win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | Horsham 1-1 Dover | National League - South |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Dover 1-1 Horsham | National League - South |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Dover 1-2 Horsham | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Horsham 1-3 Dover | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
How many goals should we expect?
Horsham score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horsham | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Dover | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Horsham sit 17th in National League - South (11 points from 10 matches) and Dover sit 8th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
| 17 | Horsham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
A question about Horsham vs Dover?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Horsham vs Dover?
- The Footlab AI model makes Horsham the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Dover.
- Where and when is Horsham vs Dover played?
- Horsham vs Dover is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Camping World Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 30, 2027Dagenham & RedbridgevsAFC Totton
- Jan 30, 2027TorquayvsBraintree
- Jan 30, 2027Ebbsfleet UnitedvsDorking Wanderers
- Jan 30, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsChesham United
- Jan 30, 2027Slough TownvsBillericay Town
- Jan 30, 2027Weston-super-MarevsTonbridge Angels
- Jan 30, 2027Chelmsford CityvsWalton & Hersham
- Jan 30, 2027Folkestone InvictavsMaidenhead