Match

Stockton Town vs Ilkeston Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Map Group UK Stadium, Stockton-on-Tees

Stockton TownIlkeston Town

The Footlab model makes Stockton Town the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Ilkeston Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stockton Town vs Ilkeston Town?

A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Stockton Town (1,799) and Ilkeston Town (1,766).

Stockton Town win41 %
Draw28 %
Ilkeston Town win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stockton Town have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Ilkeston Town have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stockton Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Guiseley AFC(away)0-3Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026Alfreton Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Gainsborough Trinity(away)1-4Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Leek Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Ashton United(home)0-1Non League Premier - Northern
Ilkeston Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Ashton United(away)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026Cleethorpes Town(home)0-3Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Warrington Town(home)1-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Whitby Town(away)0-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026AFC Emley(away)2-1Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Stockton Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ilkeston Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Ilkeston Town 1-0 Stockton TownNon League Premier - Northern
Mar 14, 2026Ilkeston Town 0-1 Stockton TownNon League Premier - Northern
Nov 1, 2025Stockton Town 0-4 Ilkeston TownNon League Premier - Northern
Mar 22, 2025Stockton Town 1-0 Ilkeston TownNon League Premier - Northern
Feb 18, 2025Ilkeston Town 1-2 Stockton TownNon League Premier - Northern

Last archived meeting: Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stockton Town score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ilkeston Town score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stockton Town0.91.627/156/15
Ilkeston Town1.11.147/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stockton Town sit 20th in Non League Premier - Northern (4 points from 6 matches) and Ilkeston Town sit 14th (7 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Ilkeston Town6213597
20Stockton Town61144104

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stockton Town vs Ilkeston Town?
The Footlab model makes Stockton Town the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Ilkeston Town.
Where and when is Stockton Town vs Ilkeston Town played?
Stockton Town vs Ilkeston Town is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Map Group UK Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Stockton Town and Ilkeston Town

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