Match

Whyteleafe vs Burgess Hill Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Church Road, Whyteleafe, Surrey

WhyteleafeBurgess Hill Town

The Footlab model makes Burgess Hill Town the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Whyteleafe. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Whyteleafe vs Burgess Hill Town?

Burgess Hill Town starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,795 vs 1,690).

Whyteleafe win31 %
Draw24 %
Burgess Hill Town win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whyteleafe have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Burgess Hill Town have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Whyteleafe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Lewes(away)1-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Wingate & Finchley(home)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Burgess Hill Town(away)0-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Carshalton Athletic(home)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Sep 7, 2025Southall(away)0-0FA Trophy
Burgess Hill Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Cheshunt(away)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Leatherhead(home)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Whyteleafe(home)3-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Brentwood Town(away)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 25, 2026Dover(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Whyteleafe win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Burgess Hill Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 11, 2026Burgess Hill Town 3-0 WhyteleafeNon League Premier - Isthmian
Oct 27, 2020Whyteleafe 5-0 Burgess Hill TownNon League Div One - Isthmian South East
Oct 29, 2019Whyteleafe 4-3 Burgess Hill TownNon League Div One - Isthmian South East

Last archived meeting: Burgess Hill Town vs Whyteleafe on Aug 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Whyteleafe score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Burgess Hill Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Whyteleafe1.52.039/1511/15
Burgess Hill Town1.61.728/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Whyteleafe sit 20th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Burgess Hill Town sit 14th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Burgess Hill Town4121655
20Whyteleafe40133101

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Whyteleafe vs Burgess Hill Town?
The Footlab model makes Burgess Hill Town the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Whyteleafe.
Where and when is Whyteleafe vs Burgess Hill Town played?
Whyteleafe vs Burgess Hill Town is played on October 21, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Church Road, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Whyteleafe and Burgess Hill Town

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