Widzew II vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 30Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR Łódź, Łódź
The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Lechia T. Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Widzew II vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Widzew II (1,801) and Lechia T. Mazowiecki (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Widzew II have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Lechia T. Mazowiecki have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Widzew II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Lechia T. Mazowiecki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 3-1 Widzew II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Widzew II 0-2 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Widzew II on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Widzew II score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia T. Mazowiecki score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Widzew II | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Widzew II sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Lechia T. Mazowiecki sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Widzew II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Widzew II vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?
- The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Lechia T. Mazowiecki.
- Where and when is Widzew II vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki played?
- Widzew II vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR Łódź, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 8, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsPelikan Łowicz
- May 8, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsŁKS Łódź II
- May 8, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsŁomża
- May 8, 2027SwitvsJagiellonia II
- May 8, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsWarta Sieradz
- May 8, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsMławianka Mława
- May 8, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsTroszyn
- May 8, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsWeszlo