Wisła Płock II vs Warta Sieradz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 30Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Bernarda Szymańskiego, Płock
The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Wisła Płock II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wisła Płock II vs Warta Sieradz?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Wisła Płock II (1,762) and Warta Sieradz (1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisła Płock II have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Warta Sieradz have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Troszyn(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Wisła Płock II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Warta Sieradz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Warta Sieradz 1-1 Wisła Płock II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Wisła Płock II 2-1 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Wisła Płock II 3-0 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Warta Sieradz 1-1 Wisła Płock II | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Warta Sieradz vs Wisła Płock II on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wisła Płock II score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Sieradz score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisła Płock II | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Warta Sieradz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wisła Płock II sit 9th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Warta Sieradz sit 12th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wisła Płock II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 12 | Warta Sieradz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wisła Płock II vs Warta Sieradz?
- The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Wisła Płock II.
- Where and when is Wisła Płock II vs Warta Sieradz played?
- Wisła Płock II vs Warta Sieradz is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Bernarda Szymańskiego, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 8, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsPelikan Łowicz
- May 8, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsŁKS Łódź II
- May 8, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsŁomża
- May 8, 2027SwitvsJagiellonia II
- May 8, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsMławianka Mława
- May 8, 2027Widzew IIvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- May 8, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsTroszyn
- May 8, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsWeszlo