Wigry Suwałki vs Pelikan Łowicz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 30Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Suwałki
The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Pelikan Łowicz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wigry Suwałki vs Pelikan Łowicz?
Wigry Suwałki starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,836 vs 1,654).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wigry Suwałki have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Pelikan Łowicz have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Wigry Suwałki win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pelikan Łowicz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Pelikan Łowicz 1-0 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Wigry Suwałki 2-1 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Pelikan Łowicz vs Wigry Suwałki on Apr 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pelikan Łowicz score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigry Suwałki | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Pelikan Łowicz | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wigry Suwałki sit 6th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Pelikan Łowicz sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pelikan Łowicz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Wigry Suwałki | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wigry Suwałki vs Pelikan Łowicz?
- The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Pelikan Łowicz.
- Where and when is Wigry Suwałki vs Pelikan Łowicz played?
- Wigry Suwałki vs Pelikan Łowicz is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 8, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsŁKS Łódź II
- May 8, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsŁomża
- May 8, 2027SwitvsJagiellonia II
- May 8, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsWarta Sieradz
- May 8, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsMławianka Mława
- May 8, 2027Widzew IIvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- May 8, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsTroszyn
- May 8, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsWeszlo