Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Troszyn: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 30Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, Ząbki
The Footlab model makes Troszyn the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Ząbkovia Ząbki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Troszyn?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Ząbkovia Ząbki (1,701) and Troszyn (1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ząbkovia Ząbki have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Troszyn have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 0-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ząbkovia Ząbki win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Troszyn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Troszyn 4-0 Ząbkovia Ząbki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Ząbkovia Ząbki 6-2 Troszyn | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Troszyn vs Ząbkovia Ząbki on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ząbkovia Ząbki score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Troszyn score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ząbkovia Ząbki | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Troszyn | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ząbkovia Ząbki sit 13th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Troszyn sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Troszyn?
- The Footlab model makes Troszyn the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Ząbkovia Ząbki.
- Where and when is Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Troszyn played?
- Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Troszyn is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 8, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsPelikan Łowicz
- May 8, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsŁKS Łódź II
- May 8, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsŁomża
- May 8, 2027SwitvsJagiellonia II
- May 8, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsWarta Sieradz
- May 8, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsMławianka Mława
- May 8, 2027Widzew IIvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- May 8, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsWeszlo