Swit vs Jagiellonia II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 30Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
The Footlab AI model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Swit. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jagiellonia II wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swit vs Jagiellonia II?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Swit (1,698) and Jagiellonia II (1,715).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Swit vs Jagiellonia II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Swit
Not enough data to predict the Swit lineup.
Jagiellonia II
Not enough data to predict the Jagiellonia II lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 11:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swit have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Jagiellonia II have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-7 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Swit(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Swit wins, 0 draws, 3 Jagiellonia II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Jagiellonia II 1-3 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Jagiellonia II 5-1 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Swit 3-2 Jagiellonia II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Jagiellonia II 5-2 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Swit 1-0 Jagiellonia II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Jagiellonia II 1-0 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia II vs Swit on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Swit score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia II score 2.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swit | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Jagiellonia II | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swit sit 7th in III Liga - Group 1 (20 points from 12 matches) and Jagiellonia II sit 11th (16 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Swit | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 20 |
| 11 | Jagiellonia II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 23 | 16 |
A question about Swit vs Jagiellonia II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swit vs Jagiellonia II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Swit.
- Where and when is Swit vs Jagiellonia II played?
- Swit vs Jagiellonia II is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 8, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsPelikan Łowicz
- May 8, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsŁKS Łódź II
- May 8, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsŁomża
- May 8, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsWarta Sieradz
- May 8, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsMławianka Mława
- May 8, 2027Widzew IIvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- May 8, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsTroszyn
- May 8, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsWeszlo