Where and when is Swit vs Jagiellonia II played?

Swit vs Jagiellonia II is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Swit vs Jagiellonia II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 30Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki

Swit

Jagiellonia II

The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Swit. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Swit vs Jagiellonia II?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Swit (1,690) and Jagiellonia II (1,775).

Swit win32 %

Draw24 %

Jagiellonia II win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swit have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Jagiellonia II have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Swit
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wigry Suwałki(away)	0-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Widzew II(away)	0-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(home)	4-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 1

Jagiellonia II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Weszlo(away)	0-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Pelikan Łowicz(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Warta Sieradz(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Wigry Suwałki(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Swit win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Jagiellonia II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Jagiellonia II 5-1 Swit	III Liga - Group 1
Sep 20, 2025	Swit 3-2 Jagiellonia II	III Liga - Group 1
Nov 23, 2024	Jagiellonia II 5-2 Swit	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 3, 2024	Swit 1-0 Jagiellonia II	III Liga - Group 1
Mar 17, 2024	Jagiellonia II 1-0 Swit	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 23, 2023	Swit 2-2 Jagiellonia II	III Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia II vs Swit on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Swit score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia II score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Swit	1.7	1.6	5	9/15	10/15
Jagiellonia II	1.6	1.7	3	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Swit sit 8th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Jagiellonia II sit 10th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Swit	5	2	2	1	7	3	8
10	Jagiellonia II	5	2	2	1	9	9	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Swit vs Jagiellonia II?: The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Swit.
Where and when is Swit vs Jagiellonia II played?: Swit vs Jagiellonia II is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.