Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction and stats
EredivisieMatchday 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Rotterdam the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Willem II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sparta Rotterdam wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,605 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Sparta Rotterdam starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,947 vs 1,829).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Willem II
4-2-3-1- 9D. Haen
- 32V. van Crooij
- 19Uriel van Aalst
- 6C. Twigt
- 18Anass Zarrouk
- 52T. Vilhena
- 5H. ter Avest
- 24N. Tjoe-A-On
- 3F. Stam
- 23M. Dekker
- 26M. Delanghe
Sparta Rotterdam
4-2-3-1- 9M. Zonneveld
- 11I. Babadi
- 7M. van Bergen
- 21J. Toornstra
- 6Teo Quintero
- 10S. Mito
- 5B. Kuipers
- 3M. Young
- 2L. Martes
- 4B. Martins Indi
- 1M. Brouwer
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 08:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Willem II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Sparta Rotterdam have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 31, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 0-7 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 4-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 1-6 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Willem II win, 0 draws, 5 Sparta Rotterdam wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam 3-2 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Dec 18, 2025 | Willem II 1-5 Sparta Rotterdam | KNVB Beker |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Willem II 3-1 Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Willem II 1-2 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Willem II 2-4 Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Willem II score 1.2 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Rotterdam score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem II | 1.2 | 2.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Willem II sit 18th in Eredivisie (3 points from 12 matches) and Sparta Rotterdam sit 12th (12 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 12 |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 3 |
A question about Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Rotterdam the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Willem II.
- Where and when is Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam played?
- Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Koning Willem II Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.