Where and when is Wisla Plock vs Pogon Szczecin played?

Wisla Plock vs Pogon Szczecin is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Orlen Stadion, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Wisla Plock vs Pogon Szczecin: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Orlen Stadion, Płock

Wisla Plock

Pogon Szczecin

The Footlab model makes Wisla Plock the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Pogon Szczecin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wisla Plock vs Pogon Szczecin?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Wisla Plock (1,927) and Pogon Szczecin (1,991).

Wisla Plock win45 %

Draw26 %

Pogon Szczecin win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisla Plock have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Pogon Szczecin have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wisla Plock
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	GKS Katowice(away)	0-5	Ekstraklasa
Aug 7, 2026	Wisla Krakow(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026	Raków Częstochowa(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 22, 2026	Pelikan Łowicz(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs

Pogon Szczecin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wisla Krakow(home)	2-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Motor Lublin(home)	3-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	2-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026	Legia Warszawa(home)	0-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 15, 2026	Sturm Graz(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Wisla Plock win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Pogon Szczecin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Pogon Szczecin 3-0 Wisla Plock	Ekstraklasa
Nov 3, 2025	Wisla Plock 2-0 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
Feb 26, 2023	Wisla Plock 0-1 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2022	Pogon Szczecin 2-2 Wisla Plock	Ekstraklasa
Apr 8, 2022	Pogon Szczecin 1-2 Wisla Plock	Ekstraklasa
Oct 17, 2021	Wisla Plock 1-0 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wisla Plock score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Wisla Plock	1.3	1.6	4	6/15	11/15
Pogon Szczecin	1.4	1.3	4	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wisla Plock sit 15th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 4 matches) and Pogon Szczecin sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	1	1	7	4	7
15	Wisla Plock	4	1	1	2	3	8	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wisla Plock vs Pogon Szczecin?: The Footlab model makes Wisla Plock the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Pogon Szczecin.
Where and when is Wisla Plock vs Pogon Szczecin played?: Wisla Plock vs Pogon Szczecin is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Orlen Stadion, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.