Match

Slask Wroclaw vs Jagiellonia: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Tarczyński Arena, Wrocław

Slask WroclawJagiellonia

The Footlab model makes Slask Wroclaw the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Jagiellonia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Slask Wroclaw vs Jagiellonia?

A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Slask Wroclaw (1,962) and Jagiellonia (2,060).

Slask Wroclaw win39 %
Draw27 %
Jagiellonia win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slask Wroclaw have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Jagiellonia have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Slask Wroclaw
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Widzew Łódź(home)3-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Zaglebie Lubin(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026Cracovia Krakow(home)0-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026Raków Częstochowa(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 25, 2026Gornik Zabrze(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Saburtalo(home)4-0UEFA Europa League
Aug 13, 2026Rangers(away)1-1UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026Widzew Łódź(home)0-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026Rangers(home)2-1UEFA Europa League
Jul 31, 2026Motor Lublin(away)2-1Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Slask Wroclaw win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Jagiellonia win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2025Slask Wroclaw 1-1 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
Nov 22, 2024Jagiellonia 2-2 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
Mar 8, 2024Jagiellonia 3-1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
Sep 26, 2023Jagiellonia 2-0 Slask WroclawCup
Sep 3, 2023Slask Wroclaw 2-1 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
May 5, 2023Jagiellonia 1-1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Slask Wroclaw vs Jagiellonia on May 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Slask Wroclaw score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Slask Wroclaw2.11.1510/1512/15
Jagiellonia1.70.777/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Slask Wroclaw sit 12th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 5 matches) and Jagiellonia sit 10th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Jagiellonia3201336
12Slask Wroclaw5122785

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Slask Wroclaw vs Jagiellonia?
The Footlab model makes Slask Wroclaw the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Jagiellonia.
Where and when is Slask Wroclaw vs Jagiellonia played?
Slask Wroclaw vs Jagiellonia is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Tarczyński Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Slask Wroclaw and Jagiellonia

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