Slask Wroclaw vs Jagiellonia: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Tarczyński Arena, Wrocław
The Footlab model makes Slask Wroclaw the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Jagiellonia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slask Wroclaw vs Jagiellonia?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Slask Wroclaw (1,962) and Jagiellonia (2,060).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slask Wroclaw have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Jagiellonia have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(home) | 3-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(home) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Motor Lublin(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Slask Wroclaw win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Jagiellonia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2025 | Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Jagiellonia 2-2 Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Jagiellonia 3-1 Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Jagiellonia 2-0 Slask Wroclaw | Cup |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Slask Wroclaw 2-1 Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa |
| May 5, 2023 | Jagiellonia 1-1 Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Slask Wroclaw vs Jagiellonia on May 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Slask Wroclaw score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Jagiellonia | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slask Wroclaw sit 12th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 5 matches) and Jagiellonia sit 10th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 | Slask Wroclaw | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slask Wroclaw vs Jagiellonia?
- The Footlab model makes Slask Wroclaw the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Jagiellonia.
- Where and when is Slask Wroclaw vs Jagiellonia played?
- Slask Wroclaw vs Jagiellonia is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Tarczyński Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 6, 2027GKS KatowicevsPiast Gliwice
- Mar 6, 2027Raków CzęstochowavsLech Poznan
- Mar 6, 2027Radomiak RadomvsWidzew Łódź